Risk Predictions
See lesson-based risk predictions and related lessons on each opportunity dashboard
Risk Predictions
Your lessons library pays off automatically when you evaluate a new opportunity. On each opportunity dashboard — not inside the Lessons Learned page — two panels apply your historical lessons to the tender at hand.
Where to Find Them
Open an opportunity and go to its dashboard. Alongside the opportunity details you'll find the Risk Predictions panel and the Related Lessons panel.
The Risk Predictions Panel
The panel lists risks predicted for this specific opportunity based on your organization's lessons. For each risk you see:
- Likelihood — Very High, High, Medium, Low, or Very Low.
- Impact — Critical, High, Medium, Low, or Minimal.
- Mitigation Strategies — suggested ways to reduce or handle the risk.
- Provenance — "Based on N lessons", with links to view the underlying lesson(s).
The panel header summarizes the picture: the total number of risks and how many are high. An overall Risk Assessment indicates whether the opportunity needs high attention or carries a manageable risk level. If nothing relevant is found, the panel reports that the opportunity appears low-risk based on historical data.
Note
Predictions are derived from your own lessons. An empty or thin panel usually means the library doesn't yet cover this kind of opportunity — not that the bid is risk-free.
The Related Lessons Panel
Next to risk predictions, the Related Lessons panel surfaces lessons from your library that are relevant to this opportunity, each with a relevance indicator. You can open a lesson directly and give quick feedback on whether a suggestion was helpful — feedback that improves future suggestions.
Using the Panels in Your Bid Process
- At go/no-go: scan the risk panel first. A cluster of high-likelihood, high-impact risks rooted in repeated past lessons is a strong no-bid signal.
- At kickoff: turn each accepted risk's mitigation strategies into concrete assignments, and read the related lessons' recommended actions.
- Before submission: re-check the high risks — were the mitigations actually done?
- After the outcome: write the next lesson. Every lesson you add sharpens predictions on the next similar opportunity.
Tip
The prediction quality tracks the library quality: lessons with clear root causes, recommended actions, and honest impact ratings produce specific, actionable risk predictions. See Creating Lessons.
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